A lot of the talking head political pundits (both Republican operatives and so-called “journalists”) are trying to spin the story that the Republican wins of the Virginia & New Jersey Governor races has something to do with President Obama and the national Republican party (that it somehow spells big wins for them in 2010.)
But why would this be the case? Do Governor races generally have anything to do with national politics or not? The answer is clearly that they do not have anything to do with national politics. All it takes is a simple look at the recent histories of Governor races in Virginia and New Jersey to see that quite obviously (which makes one wonder if these idiot pundits do even the most basic research?)
In 2001 when George W. Bush had a sky high approval rating over 80% (post 9/11) both Virginia & New Jersey went for a Democratic Governor. Did those elections have anything to do with Bush? No, obviously not. And did they foretell any Democratic sweeps in 2002 or 2004? No, clearly not.
So why would these elections be any different?
In fact the last nine times Virginia has voted for a Governor (including tonight) it has voted for the candidate whose party does not control the White House. Nine times in a row! So why is this time suddenly supposed to say something about the President? Did it say something about Reagan when Virginia voted for a Democratic Governor twice during his Presidency? No, I don’t think so. Did it say something about Clinton when Virginia voted for a Republican Governor twice during his Presidency? No, obviously not.
So why would it suddenly say something about Obama for a Republican to win while he in office? Why would that make any sense at all? How is it that there are supposedly informed people on cable television making that claim tonight? That’s just shockingly stupid.
I’ve also heard the claim that’s a huge deal that New Jersey voted for a Republican Governor since it’s such a blue state but of course New Jersey had a Republican Governor throughout most of the ’90s (Christine Whitman) and certainly other very blue states have voted for Republican Governors in recent history (Schwarzenegger in California, Pataki in New York, & Romney in Massachusetts for three obvious examples.) So it’s not really that unusual at all.
So while many on the right are trying to make a big deal out of these two Republican wins in these Governor races which tend to have nothing to do with national politics, the Democrats actually won both of the congressional races (in New York & California.) Most impressively they won NY-23 for the first time since the 1800s.
And even more interesting than the Democratic party winning this seat for the first time in ages is how they won it. Really, it was more the Republicans that lost it with their infighting. The Republicans would have almost definitely won the seat but some “conservatives” (ie: right wing nutjobs) decided that the Republican candidate wasn’t “conservative enough” so they ran a Glenn Beck approved candidate named Doug Hoffman in the general election and Sarah Palin, Glenn Beck, and other far right wing political figures endorsed him.
Eventually the moderate Republican dropped out of the race which the teabagging crew applauded at first because they thought her votes would go to Hoffman so he could beat Owens. But instead she ended up endorsing the Democrat and tonight the results are in: Bill Owens won NY-23 for the Democrats for the first time since the 1800s.
I think the Democratic party would welcome a lot more of this teabagging stuff! I think they’re hoping they go to Florida and take out Charlie Crist next.