How Wrong Was Rasmussen?

Very wrong.

The final #s aren’t in yet but it’s already clear that Rasmussen’s final poll #s missed in favor of Mitt Romney in every single swing state.

They also missed in favor of Romney when it comes to the national numbers (which are also not finalized yet.)

This is not a fluke. Rasmussen missed just as badly in favor of Republicans in 2008 and 2010.

Who got it right? Nate Silver. Silver predicted the correct winner in all 50 states (his analysis was the main basis for my own prediction – although I gave Florida to Obama earlier than he did based on the trend.)

This is also not a fluke, Silver nailed 2008 as well.

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